Saturday, June 16, 2012

Historical Applications of Statistics: Secular


Statistical Analysis has historically played a role in mathematics, but it also has had wide
applications in varied academic disciplines. Mortality rates, birth rates, and marriage activities for governmental census purposes have been the traditional application outside of academic fields. However, recent demographic studies have demanded more from statistics than just factual numbers.
            John Naisbitt, author of MegaTrends, MegaTrends 2000 and MegaTrends 2010 has well-known for the last two decades for his ability to study current trends and use those observations to draw strategic conclusions for the business world. More recently, his use of statistics has entered into another realm, that of planning future trends and creating possible scenarios. These applications are widely accepted in the area of business management and organizational leadership. According to Naisbitt, these “pictures of the future are not speculation or a reach into the unknown. They are based on an analysis of the present.”[1]
            Malcolm Gladwell, as a staff writer for The New Yorker for the last 15 years, has documented the use of statistics in epidemiology and how those same statistics can be applied in other disciplines like business, marketing, and education. In his bestseller, The Tipping Point, Gladwell applies epidemiological statistics to studies in the social sciences in order to posit that “social epidemics work in exactly the same way” as communicable diseases and infectious viruses.[2] The amazing popularity of his applications for statistical analysis only reiterates the fact that the science of statistics can bring validity to many other scientific fields.     
          I highly recommend your reading both of these books, now staples in any study of statistical analysis.

[1] John Naisbitt, Mind Set!: Reset Your Thinking and See the Future (New York: HarperCollins, 2006), xx.

[2] Malcolm Gladwell, The Tipping Point: How Little Things Can Make a Big Difference (New York: Back Bay Books, 2002), 21.  

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